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Red34
99866.9
580015.9
998511.7
Blue21
99704.9
99726.0
69027.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371502060801003421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.0
15.815.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
red by 8.0
6902
#20
7.90.2
7.57.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Second
11.70.0
11.911.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
red by 5.7
9972
#21
6.00.3
5.55.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Third
6.90.0
6.86.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 2.1
9970
#27
4.90.3
4.44.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed