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Red24
99737.1
177218.1
99985.7
Blue35
99894.9
186018.7
99873.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362602060802435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.9
18.918.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
blue by 0.6
18.70.2
18.018.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
9973
#19
7.11.3
8.67.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 2.1
9989
#16
4.90.3
2.73.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
Third
9998
#24
5.71.3
5.84.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
red by 2.2
9987
#25
3.50.3
3.23.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed