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Red8
99967.8
69027.9
99922.6
Blue30
999513.7
756521.2
99894.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19350406080100830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6902
#20
7.92.0
8.76.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 13.3
21.20.0
14.814.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
Second
9996
#12
7.82.3
7.95.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 5.8
9995
#14
13.70.1
7.97.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
9992
#26
2.62.3
7.95.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.5
End-0.5
blue by 2.3
9989
#16
4.90.1
7.97.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed