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Red26
999312.2
99704.9
99947.1
Blue31
99887.9
998511.7
99737.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213004060801001202631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.20.2
7.98.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 0.5
11.70.4
7.98.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Second
9994
#18
7.10.2
7.98.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End0.1
blue by 0.8
9988
#11
7.90.4
7.98.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
Third
9970
#27
4.90.2
7.98.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 2.2
9973
#19
7.10.4
7.98.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed