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Red5
99742.6
99737.1
99912.5
Blue41
99967.8
99866.9
756719.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19230406080100120541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9973
#19
7.11.3
7.86.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 12.5
19.61.0
13.514.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Second
9974
#22
2.61.3
5.33.9
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End0.3
blue by 5.2
9996
#12
7.81.7
6.98.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
9991
#28
2.51.3
4.02.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 4.5
6.91.7
5.67.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed