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Red3
99894.9
99985.7
99704.9
Blue25
99726.0
99905.7
177218.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13370206080325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#24
5.71.8
6.34.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 12.4
18.10.3
17.417.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Second
9989
#16
4.91.8
4.83.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 1.0
9972
#21
6.00.5
5.75.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Third
9970
#27
4.91.8
7.86.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 0.8
9990
#23
5.70.5
6.45.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed