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Red24
64046.6
998511.7
99905.7
Blue51
115617.7
99866.9
756521.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2344060801002451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.0
10.410.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 9.5
21.20.4
17.017.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
Second
6404
#17
6.60.0
7.77.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 11.2
17.70.4
17.217.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
9990
#23
5.70.0
5.95.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 1.3
6.90.6
7.37.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned