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Red34
99976.4
99912.5
999312.2
Blue25
580015.9
69027.9
99894.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3719060801003425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.20.9
12.313.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
blue by 3.7
15.90.1
14.114.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Second
9997
#13
6.40.9
7.38.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 1.5
6902
#20
7.90.1
6.06.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Third
9991
#28
2.50.9
2.63.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 2.5
9989
#16
4.90.2
3.13.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed