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Red28
115617.7
99726.0
99887.9
Blue47
99967.8
999513.7
186018.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344002060801001202847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.2
17.617.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 0.9
18.70.3
18.318.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
9988
#11
7.90.3
8.17.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
blue by 5.7
9995
#14
13.70.4
8.18.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
9972
#21
6.00.3
5.24.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 1.9
9996
#12
7.80.4
8.79.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed