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Red52
99866.9
999312.2
177218.1
Blue45
99985.7
756521.2
99716.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290102040506070805245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.9
17.118.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
blue by 3.1
21.21.0
17.418.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
Second
12.21.5
13.214.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 5.9
9971
#15
6.31.7
7.79.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Third
6.91.5
7.99.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 1.3
9998
#24
5.71.7
4.56.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed