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Red6
99905.7
99873.5
99912.5
Blue21
99976.4
99922.6
580015.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194206080100621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
#23
5.71.6
5.94.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 10.2
15.90.5
14.213.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Second
9987
#25
3.51.6
7.05.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 3.0
9997
#13
6.40.8
8.17.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
9991
#28
2.51.6
3.41.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 0.2
9992
#26
2.60.8
5.54.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsMissed