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Red33
999312.2
64046.6
99967.8
Blue12
99894.9
99905.7
99922.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29501020405060703312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.20.1
13.813.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 6.5
9990
#23
5.70.3
3.13.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Second
9996
#12
7.80.1
7.67.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 2.9
9989
#16
4.90.3
2.52.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
Third
6404
#17
6.60.1
8.58.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
red by 3.9
9992
#26
2.60.3
4.04.2
Auto2.6
Teleop0.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
2%Hangar oddsMissed4%Hangar oddsMissed