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Red35
99704.9
99737.1
115617.7
Blue41
580015.9
99726.0
99947.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250204060803541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.4
17.317.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
15.90.6
15.215.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Second
9973
#19
7.10.6
8.08.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Level
9994
#18
7.10.9
4.55.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Third
9970
#27
4.90.6
3.74.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 1.1
9972
#21
6.00.9
4.65.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed