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Red32
64046.6
580015.9
756315.3
Blue3
99905.7
99742.6
99985.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442206080100323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.5
14.213.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
red by 10.2
9998
#24
5.72.3
7.95.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Second
7563
#10
15.30.4
14.814.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End4.5
red by 9.6
9990
#23
5.72.3
7.95.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Third
6404
#17
6.60.7
9.79.0
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
red by 3.9
9974
#22
2.62.3
7.95.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed