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Red4
99912.5
99894.9
99726.0
Blue15
99873.5
99887.9
99866.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19280406080100120140160415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9972
#21
6.02.2
7.95.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 1.9
9988
#11
7.91.5
8.36.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
Second
9989
#16
4.92.2
7.95.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 2.0
6.91.5
7.96.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
9991
#28
2.52.2
7.95.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 1.0
9987
#25
3.51.5
7.96.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed