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Red18
999513.7
69027.9
99976.4
Blue34
99947.1
756719.6
177218.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060801001834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#14
13.70.4
7.97.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 5.9
19.60.3
13.813.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Second
6902
#20
7.90.3
6.76.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 10.2
18.10.4
16.816.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
9997
#13
6.40.4
6.86.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 0.7
9994
#18
7.10.5
8.27.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed