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Red32
756521.2
756719.6
99894.9
Blue50
999513.7
186018.7
99905.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44382060803250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.2
20.320.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 2.5
18.70.1
18.218.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
19.60.2
18.718.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 5.9
9995
#14
13.70.2
13.013.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
9989
#16
4.90.3
3.73.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 0.7
9990
#23
5.70.2
5.05.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1