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Red96
907321.0
174735.5
877319.3
Blue42
756736.5
504510.9
877222.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666340801009642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#21
35.51.1
23.624.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
blue by 1.0
7567
#25
36.51.5
34.533.1
Auto9.6
Teleop22.1
End4.6
Second
9073
#23
21.01.1
17.218.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End7.2
blue by 1.8
8772
#27
22.72.2
16.214.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.8
End5.8
Third
8773
#46
19.31.8
18.720.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
red by 8.4
5045
#48
10.91.3
11.09.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed