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Red133
651729.7
103848.2
500226.5
Blue120
878822.2
693630.2
547261.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82112050100150200133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.23.2
32.335.4
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
blue by 12.8
5472
#14
61.10.9
57.058.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
Second
6517
#30
29.73.5
29.032.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
blue by 0.5
6936
#17
30.21.0
22.623.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Third
5002
#28
26.53.2
19.322.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2
red by 4.3
8788
#33
22.20.9
21.322.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned