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Red94
500521.7
742828.2
299256.6
Blue166
146647.2
384323.2
449965.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891375010015020025094166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.60.3
49.349.5
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
blue by 9.3
65.91.5
67.869.3
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
Second
7428
#38
28.20.3
24.224.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End6.0
blue by 19.0
47.21.5
33.134.7
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
Third
5005
#36
21.70.3
16.216.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End6.1
blue by 1.5
3843
#40
23.22.6
21.924.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned