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Red90
328436.2
527627.7
928027.4
Blue140
162247.5
393759.8
54725.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60135010015020025090140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#13
36.21.6
23.625.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
blue by 23.7
59.81.5
50.652.1
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
Second
5276
#15
27.71.6
21.623.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
blue by 19.9
1622
#11
47.51.5
44.345.8
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
Third
9280
#32
27.41.8
20.422.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End8.7
red by 1.8
547
#43
25.62.5
22.224.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned