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Red109
162247.5
756537.6
395936.5
Blue98
640424.2
596513.3
103848.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206805010015020010998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#11
47.50.2
44.444.6
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
blue by 0.7
48.21.8
37.739.5
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
Second
7565
#18
37.60.2
32.933.1
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 13.3
6404
#20
24.21.8
18.120.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End7.1
Third
36.50.2
29.029.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 23.2
5965
#41
13.31.8
14.516.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned