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Red57
243843.5
504510.9
500521.7
Blue125
393759.8
527627.7
862423.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661075015057125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.0
40.639.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
blue by 16.3
59.82.0
53.255.2
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
Second
5005
#36
21.71.0
18.317.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End6.1
blue by 6.0
5276
#15
27.72.0
24.626.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Third
5045
#48
10.91.0
8.07.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.4
blue by 12.2
8624
#29
23.13.3
17.120.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned