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Red88
384323.2
500226.5
682341.3
Blue66
541020.7
610719.5
756736.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94600501508866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.3
35.135.4
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 4.7
7567
#25
36.50.4
32.032.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.1
End4.6
Second
5002
#28
26.50.3
22.622.8
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2
red by 5.9
5410
#31
20.70.4
12.012.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5
Third
3843
#40
23.20.5
26.226.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
red by 3.6
6107
#35
19.50.4
16.516.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed