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Red107
878822.2
707227.7
328436.2
Blue71
17956.7
618418.7
743014.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779405015020010771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#13
36.22.2
28.430.5
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
blue by 20.5
179
#10
56.71.0
53.452.4
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
Second
7072
#22
27.72.2
22.624.8
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
red by 9.0
6184
#44
18.71.0
16.415.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Third
8788
#33
22.22.2
23.225.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.3
red by 7.9
7430
#37
14.41.0
16.215.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed