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Red102
53814.5
449965.9
23340.7
Blue109
877222.7
931315.7
361643.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14963050100200102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.8
69.868.0
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 22.5
3616
#16
43.41.6
38.039.7
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
Second
233
#45
40.71.8
37.836.0
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
red by 17.9
8772
#27
22.72.7
17.420.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.8
End5.8
Third
538
#50
14.51.8
21.019.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4
blue by 1.2
9313
#42
15.71.6
14.215.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned