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Red155
328436.2
103848.2
361643.4
Blue31
931315.7
596513.3
3419.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1303805010015020015531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.23.0
39.942.9
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
red by 28.9
34
#47
19.31.0
16.415.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Second
3616
#16
43.43.0
39.742.6
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
red by 27.7
9313
#42
15.71.0
15.814.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
Third
3284
#13
36.23.0
30.533.5
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
red by 22.8
5965
#41
13.31.0
14.513.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed