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Red166
17956.7
756736.5
146647.2
Blue122
584235.3
707227.7
393759.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135124050100150200250300166122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#10
56.72.4
52.454.8
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
blue by 3.1
59.80.1
56.656.5
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
Second
47.22.4
40.342.7
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
red by 11.9
5842
#34
35.30.1
36.536.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
Third
7567
#25
36.52.4
32.434.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.1
End4.6
red by 8.8
7072
#22
27.70.1
24.824.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned