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Red78
640424.2
742828.2
527627.7
Blue76
500226.5
457637.4
877319.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75835001,0001,5002,0007876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7428
#38
28.20.4
22.022.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End6.0
blue by 9.2
4576
#24
37.40.7
36.736.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End7.8
Second
5276
#15
27.70.4
26.627.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
red by 1.2
5002
#28
26.50.7
22.822.1
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2
Third
6404
#20
24.20.4
22.923.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End7.1
red by 4.9
8773
#46
19.31.2
17.416.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed