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Red120
297326.9
547261.1
243843.5
Blue107
174735.5
618418.7
541020.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146510100200120107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#14
61.10.3
59.158.7
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
red by 25.5
1747
#21
35.53.1
29.532.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
43.50.3
39.739.3
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
red by 22.9
5410
#31
20.73.1
13.816.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5
Third
2973
#19
26.90.3
26.826.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.1
End7.2
red by 8.2
6184
#44
18.73.1
16.619.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned