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Red67
651729.7
878822.2
255632.7
Blue130
756537.6
500521.7
23340.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210005015020067130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#39
32.71.4
32.030.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
blue by 8.0
233
#45
40.71.4
37.739.1
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
Second
6517
#30
29.71.4
29.628.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
blue by 7.9
7565
#18
37.61.4
37.138.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
8788
#33DQ
22.21.4
26.024.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.3
red by 0.6
5005
#36
21.71.4
17.719.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed