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Red117
804441.5
907321.0
743014.4
Blue111
527627.7
361643.4
174735.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111350100150200117111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
41.52.7
37.139.8
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 1.9
3616
#16
43.40.4
42.642.9
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
Second
9073
#23
21.02.7
20.322.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End7.2
blue by 14.6
1747
#21
35.50.4
32.733.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Third
7430
#37
14.42.7
14.417.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End5.1
blue by 13.3
5276
#15
27.70.4
25.325.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned