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Red72
928027.4
3419.3
53814.5
Blue118
500226.5
640424.2
243843.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629505015072118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#32
27.40.3
26.326.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 16.1
43.51.8
40.342.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
Second
34
#47
19.30.3
20.120.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 7.2
5002
#28
26.51.8
22.924.7
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2
Third
538
#50
14.50.3
16.216.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End3.4
blue by 9.7
6404
#20
24.21.8
22.124.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned