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Red121
457637.4
363049.9
504510.9
Blue118
707227.7
23340.7
682341.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511250150200121118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.92.0
46.348.3
Auto11.8
Teleop28.0
End10.1
red by 8.7
41.30.7
37.137.7
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
4576
#24
37.42.0
36.338.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End7.8
blue by 3.2
233
#45
40.70.7
40.140.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
Third
5045
#48
10.92.0
8.510.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.4
blue by 16.8
7072
#22
27.70.7
26.026.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned