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Red131
393759.8
756736.5
931315.7
Blue110
742828.2
756537.6
651729.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189150100150131110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.9
57.558.4
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
red by 22.3
7565
#18
37.61.4
38.540.0
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Second
7567
#25
36.50.9
34.935.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.1
End4.6
red by 6.8
6517
#30
29.71.4
25.827.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
Third
9313
#42
15.70.9
14.615.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
blue by 12.5
7428
#38
28.21.4
24.626.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed