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Red111
255632.7
457637.4
610719.5
Blue130
361643.4
928027.4
299256.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611650100150111130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
#24
37.42.8
34.237.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End7.8
blue by 19.1
56.61.8
47.549.3
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
2556
#39
32.72.5
28.831.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
blue by 10.7
3616
#16
43.41.8
37.839.6
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
Third
6107
#35
19.52.3
13.615.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End8.3
blue by 7.9
9280
#32
27.42.2
18.320.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed