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Red107
584235.3
146647.2
297326.9
Blue89
363049.9
162247.5
931315.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710370809011012013014010789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.21.1
32.033.1
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
blue by 2.7
49.90.5
37.637.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.0
End10.1
Second
5842
#34
35.31.1
37.338.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
blue by 12.2
1622
#11
47.50.5
44.844.3
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
Third
2973
#19
26.91.0
22.423.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.1
End7.2
red by 11.2
9313
#42
15.70.5
13.613.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned