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Red155
255632.7
146647.2
17956.7
Blue127
103848.2
804441.5
527627.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812150100200155127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#10
56.70.2
56.356.5
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
red by 8.5
48.20.2
48.048.2
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
Second
47.20.2
46.847.0
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
red by 5.8
8044
#12
41.50.2
41.241.5
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Third
2556
#39
32.70.2
32.332.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
red by 5.0
5276
#15
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0