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Red144
707227.7
449965.9
393759.8
Blue135
363049.9
651729.7
299256.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169140100150200250144135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.4
66.566.2
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 9.3
56.60.0
56.156.1
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
59.80.4
60.560.1
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
red by 9.9
49.90.0
49.449.4
Auto11.8
Teleop28.0
End10.1
Third
7072
#22
27.70.4
28.428.0
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
blue by 1.9
6517
#30
29.70.0
29.229.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8