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Red175
707227.7
449965.9
393759.8
Blue114
162247.5
361643.4
23340.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169139100120160180200220240175114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.3
66.366.7
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 18.3
1622
#11
47.50.4
48.347.8
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
Second
59.80.3
60.360.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
red by 16.5
3616
#16
43.40.4
44.143.7
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
Third
7072
#22
27.70.3
28.228.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
blue by 12.9
233
#45
40.70.4
41.440.9
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1