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Red133
103848.2
804441.5
174735.5
Blue146
682341.3
547261.1
541020.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133129110120140150160170133146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.2
47.848.0
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
blue by 12.8
5472
#14
61.10.5
60.661.1
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
Second
8044
#12
41.50.2
41.041.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End6.5
red by 0.2
41.30.5
40.741.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Third
1747
#21
35.50.2
35.335.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
red by 14.9
5410
#31
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5