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Red133
17956.7
146647.2
255632.7
Blue106
395936.5
328436.2
500226.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529850200133106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#10
56.70.2
56.456.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
red by 20.2
36.50.2
36.236.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Second
47.20.2
46.946.7
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
red by 11.0
3284
#13
36.20.2
35.936.0
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
Third
2556
#39
32.70.2
32.332.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
red by 6.2
5002
#28
26.50.2
26.226.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2