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Red140
255632.7
146647.2
17956.7
Blue144
363049.9
651729.7
299256.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144143120130140150160170140144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#10
56.70.1
56.256.3
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
red by 0.1
56.60.2
55.856.1
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
47.20.1
46.746.8
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
blue by 2.7
49.90.2
49.249.4
Auto11.8
Teleop28.0
End10.1
Third
2556
#39
32.70.1
32.232.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
red by 3.0
6517
#30
29.70.2
28.929.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8