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Red155
707227.7
449965.9
393759.8
Blue133
682341.3
547261.1
541020.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172125100150200155133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.1
66.766.5
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 4.8
5472
#14
61.10.2
61.161.3
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
Second
59.80.1
60.660.5
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
red by 18.6
41.30.2
41.341.5
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Third
7072
#22
27.70.1
28.528.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
red by 7.1
5410
#31
20.70.2
20.720.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5