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Red110
500226.5
328436.2
395936.5
Blue112
756537.6
457637.4
243843.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113150150200110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.1
36.436.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End6.6
blue by 7.0
43.50.3
43.843.5
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
Second
3284
#13
36.20.1
36.036.2
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
blue by 1.4
7565
#18
37.60.3
37.837.6
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
5002
#28
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.2
End7.2
blue by 10.9
4576
#24
37.40.3
37.737.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End7.8