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Red119
23340.7
162247.5
361643.4
Blue126
103848.2
804441.5
174735.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143131050100200250300119126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#11
47.50.3
47.847.5
Auto12.6
Teleop27.7
End7.3
blue by 0.7
48.20.0
48.048.0
Auto11.6
Teleop29.6
End7.0
Second
3616
#16
43.40.3
43.743.4
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
red by 1.9
8044
#12
41.50.0
41.241.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Third
233
#45
40.70.3
40.940.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End5.1
red by 5.1
1747
#21
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5