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Red124
744439.0
62463.3
313039.1
Blue123
290518.4
436261.3
910139.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611750100200250124123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#6
63.31.2
63.362.1
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
red by 2.0
4362
#35
61.30.5
58.058.6
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Second
3130
#46
39.11.2
39.438.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End6.1
blue by 0.8
9101
#53
39.90.5
39.339.8
Auto9.9
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Third
7444
#55
39.01.2
38.937.7
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End6.7
red by 20.5
2905
#51
18.40.5
17.518.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned