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Red149
914817.8
306151.0
287537.7
Blue118
580929.8
447655.3
459829.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97119050150200149118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#24
51.02.9
46.749.5
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.7
blue by 4.3
4476
#38
55.30.6
53.554.1
Auto14.4
Teleop30.4
End8.9
Second
2875
#56
37.72.9
33.136.0
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
red by 7.9
5809
#68
29.80.6
27.528.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
9148
#67
17.82.9
14.117.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.9
blue by 11.7
4598
#75
29.60.6
28.128.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned