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Red141
12044.9
905917.4
808556.5
Blue90
918023.7
906732.8
220245.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011205010015020025014190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.5
53.655.1
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 11.2
2202
#25
45.31.1
46.445.3
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
Second
120
#41
44.91.5
43.444.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.7
End9.0
red by 12.1
9067
#61
32.81.1
33.932.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Third
9059
#72
17.41.5
15.917.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 6.3
9180
#64
23.71.1
24.823.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned