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Red194
161965.3
717446.9
157772.4
Blue117
721155.9
148146.1
504511.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19211150100150250194117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
72.41.6
70.572.1
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
red by 16.4
7211
#47
55.90.5
56.455.9
Auto16.5
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Second
1619
#20
65.31.6
62.664.2
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 19.2
1481
#49
46.10.5
46.646.1
Auto12.4
Teleop24.1
End8.5
Third
7174
#23
46.91.6
45.346.9
Auto13.4
Teleop24.6
End9.0
red by 35.7
5045
#77
11.10.5
11.711.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned